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TruMedia Networks is a software engineering firm focused on powering sports analytics platforms.

In the News

News about TruMedia and articles featuring TruMedia data and analysis.

Filtering by Tag: Washington Post

Is Le'Veon Bell worth $52.5M?

Rafe Anderson

The Washington Post’s Neil Greenberg uses TruMedia’s expected-points model to suggest thats the Jets $52 million investment in Le’Veon Bell may not be the wisest use of cap space:

“…when the Pittsburgh Steelers targeted Bell out of the backfield in 2017, the team scored less than a half point more per game than expected after accounting for the down, distance and field position of each throw, per data from TruMedia. On his carries, the Steelers produced 1.7 points per game less than expected.”

Full story: The Washington Post

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Saints a big winner on Wild Card weekend

Rafe Anderson

The Washington Post says the Saints were big winners on Wild Card weekend, as they’ll face a relatively weak Eagles secondary…

“The Eagles will travel to New Orleans to face the Saints, the top seed in the NFC, which also features one of this year’s top quarterbacks in Drew Brees. … Bears quarterback Mitchell Trubisky, by comparison, ended the regular season ranked 30th out of 32 qualified passers. That’s quite a difference for an Eagles pass coverage unit who has seen opponents score almost three points more per game than expected based on the down, distance and field position of each throw against them, per data from TruMedia.”

Full article: The Washington Post

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Fatal Flaws in Every Playoff Team

Rafe Anderson

Neil Greenberg highlights potentially fatal flaws in each NFL playoff team, using advanced statistics including TruMedia’s expected points added model.

“Passers have completed 67 percent of their throws against the Saints for an average rating of 100.3, roughly the equivalent of Goff’s 2018 number (101.1). Looked at another way, New Orleans allowed three points more per game than expected after taking into account the down, distance and field position of each pass against. Only seven other teams, just one a playoff contender (Chiefs), were worse in 2018, per data from TruMedia.”

Full article: The Washington Post

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Bears defense makes them wild-card favorite

Rafe Anderson

The Bears defense makes Chicago the pick to cover the spread in the wild-card round, says The Washington Post’s Neil Greenberg:

“Chicago was the first team since 2006 to record both 50 sacks and 25 interceptions, plus allowed a league low 1.4 points per drive (league average was 2.0) with the fifth-best red zone defense (50 percent), forcing opponents three-and-out more than a third of the time (36 percent, fifth best). It was so good opponents scored almost 10 points fewer per game than expected based on the down, distance and field position of each play against. No other defense came close per data from TruMedia.”

Full article: The Washington Post

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BEARS GOOD VALUE TO WIN NFC

Rafe Anderson

With 5-1 odds, the Bears are a good value bet to win NFC, says The Washington Post’s Neil Greenberg:

“The Bears are the obvious standout here, and their defense is one of the best we have seen since 2002, when the league expanded to 32 teams. Chicago is allowing 9.5 fewer points per game than expected after accounting for the down, distance and field position of each play, the ninth-best mark over the past 17 seasons, per TruMedia.”

Full article: The Washington Post

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Bears defense makes them top Eliminator pick

Rafe Anderson

The Bears defense makes them the best Eliminator pick in Week 16, says Neil Greenberg of The Washington Post:

“Teams are scoring almost 10 points per game less than expected against the Bears, after you account for the down, distance and field position of each offensive play, per data from TruMedia. Not only is that tops in the league this season; it would also be the ninth best mark since 2002, the year the league expanded to 32 teams.”

Full article: The Washington Post

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Patriots defense could win you a fantasy title

Rafe Anderson

The Washington Post’s Neil Greenberg cites TruMedia’s expected-points model as a reason to add the Patriots defense for their Week 16 matchup against the Bills.

“Buffalo scores nearly 13 fewer points per game than expected after accounting for the down, distance and field position of each play. Only the Arizona Cardinals are worse, per data from TruMedia.”

Full article: The Washington Post

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Start Jared Cook this week

Rafe Anderson

The Bengals have struggled against tight ends, making Jared Cook a top fantasy option this weekend…

“Cook caught 7 of 10 targets for 116 yards on Sunday against the Pittsburgh Steelers giving him two straight games with at least 100 yards receiving. Plus, this week’s opponent, the Cincinnati Bengals, allows a robust 113.7 passer rating this season to opposing quarterbacks targeting tight ends in coverage per TruMedia; the league average is 98.6.”

Full article: The Washington Post

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SECONDARY IS REASON RAVENS CAN WIN AFC NORTH

Rafe Anderson

Baltimore’s strong secondary is a reason to pick the Ravens to win the AFC North, writes Neil Greenberg in The Washington Post:

“The Ravens secondary, in particular, has been strong. Marlon Humphrey, Eric Weddle, Anthony Levine Sr. and Tony Jefferson have helped hold opposing quarterbacks to an 83.4 passer rating against, the second-best mark in the NFL this year, with offenses scoring almost two points per game fewer than expected on pass attempts, per TruMedia. Linebacker Za’Darius Smith has been a force as well: 6.5 sacks, 44 total pressures and 16 stops at or behind the line of scrimmage in 2018.”

Full article: The Washington Post

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PACKERS TOP THE WEEK'S ELIMINATOR PICKS

Rafe Anderson

The Packers are the best eliminator pick in Week 13, says The Washington Post, in part because of the Cardinals offensive struggles…

“According to TruMedia, Arizona is scoring 13 points fewer per game than expected based on the down, distance and field position of each offensive play. Only the Buffalo Bills (15 fewer per game) are worse in 2018 and only six teams are worse since 2002, the first year the league played with 32 teams.”

Full article: The Washington Post

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JAGS DEFENSE NOT THE SAME

Rafe Anderson

The Washington Post picks the Colts to cover (-4) against the Jaguars, in part because of Jacksonville’s defensive regression…

“There was a time when the Jaguars defense was something to be feared. Not anymore. The team is giving up almost four more points per game on passes than expected based on the down, distance and field position of each throw, per TruMedia, and will have its hands full with quarterback Andrew Luck, who has been on fire during the Colts’ five-game win streak.”

Full article: The Washington Post

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Start Keenum vs Bengals defense

Rafe Anderson

The Washington Post’s Neil Greenberg recommends Case Keenum as a fantasy starter this week, in part because of the Bengals defensive struggles:

“The Bengals are also allowing eights more points per game than expected on passing plays based on the down, distance and field position of each throw against. Per data from TruMedia, only the Detroit Lions, Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Atlanta Falcons are worse in 2018.”

Full article: The Washington Post

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Stop Sleeping on the Chargers

Rafe Anderson

The Washington Post’s Neil Greenberg says it’s time to stop sleeping on the Chargers, in part because they have their best defense in years.

“Its work at disrupting the pass has the Chargers defense allowing 5.3 points per 100 snaps fewer than expected after taking into account the down, distance and field position of each play, the sixth-best mark this season and the best performance to date of any eventual Chargers playoff team over the past 14 years, per data from TruMedia.”

Full article: The Washington Post

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Falcons defensive issues favor Redskins

Rafe Anderson

In his Week 9 picks, The Washington Post’s Neil Greenberg takes the Redskins to cover against the Falcons, in part because Atlanta’s defensive issues.

“Atlanta is allowing 12 more points per game than expected after taking into account the down, distance and field position of each defensive play, per TruMedia. The Oakland Raiders are the next worst team with eight points allowed more per game than expected.”

Full article: Washington Post

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How Khalil Mack Helps The Bears

Rafe Anderson

The Washington Post explains one way that Khalil Mack can help the Bears defense:

"Adding a fearsome pass rusher like Mack could turn Chicago’s fortunes around in a hurry. According to data from TruMedia, teams scored almost two points per drive in 2017 when the offensive line didn’t give up a sack. That dropped to less than a point per drive when yielding one sack or more, making it easy to see how much of a momentum killer a sack can be. And with Mack, the Bears should be getting plenty more of them."

Full article: The Washington Post

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Put Ertz, Newton, Hurns on your draft lists

Rafe Anderson

Neil Greenberg of the Washington Post uses TruMedia to show why Zach Ertz, Cam Newton and Allen Hurns might be good fantasy football picks this season:

Round 4: Philadelphia Eagles tight end Zach Ertz ranked fourth in targets (110) and target share (20 percent) last season per data from TruMedia with a higher share of targets (23 percent) in the red zone.

Full article: Washington Post

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The Perfect Fantasy Football Draft

Rafe Anderson

What might the perfect fantasy football draft look like? Neil Greenberg uses TruMedia data to figure it out:

"For example, LeSean McCoy is the No. 1 back in Buffalo, but that doesn’t mean there won’t be plenty of opportunities for his primary backup, Chris Ivory, to get carries. Last season McCoy’s backups accounted for 25 percent of all carries but also 49 percent of the team’s carries in goal-to-go situations, per data from TruMedia."

Full article: Washington Post

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Juan Soto's Historic Year

Rafe Anderson

Neil Greenberg uses TruMedia data and heat maps to show how good teenager Juan Soto has been this season:

"When Soto isn’t taking a free pass to first, he’s crushing balls: Soto is batting .367 with a 1.215 OPS against four-seam fastballs, sinkers and cutters, the highest OPS among batters who have seen at least 650 fastballs in 2018, per data from TruMedia. It doesn’t matter if the pitch is inside, outside, high or low — Soto finds a way to muscle it out of the park."

Full article: Washington Post

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Ramos' framing helps Phillies

Rafe Anderson

For the Washington Post's Fancy Stats blog, Neil Greenberg used TruMedia's heat maps to show the extra strike calls that Wilson Ramos' framing provides:

"Ramos also gives the Phillies another catcher who can frame pitches. With Knapp behind the plate, Philadelphia’s pitchers get a called strike on pitches out of the zone 5.4 percent of the time, per TruMedia; Ramos has a 7.2 percent called-strike rate on those pitches, just slightly lower than Alfaro (7.8 percent). The league average is 7.2 percent."

Full article: Washington Post

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Could data save the bunt?

Rafe Anderson

The Washington Post's Neil Greenberg wonders if the time has come to bring back the bunt. 

"According to data from TruMedia, there were 232 bunt singles last year from March to June, the lowest since 2008, the first year data is available. This season there were 226.

But it might be time to bring the bunt back, especially with more and more teams employing the shift to neutralize the league's most-predictable hitters."

Full article: ChicagoTribune.com (via Washington Post)

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