The future of top Premier League teams

ESPN’s Bill Connelly looks at the future of the Premier Leagues “Big 6” teams, using TruMedia’s research tool and expected-goals model…

“Arsenal’s biggest concern: Do these attacking pieces actually mix? After averaging at least 0.9 xG per 90 minutes every year from 2015-16 to 2017-18, Aubameyang's average fell to 0.79 last season and 0.46 this year. Lacazette has been at 0.44 each of the past two years after four years over 0.5. They could be on the downward portion of their respective careers.

Meanwhile, Pepe is basically Trae Young in soccer form: he's over the ball a lot and constantly aims for the one big pass or glorious long strike. Since Jan. 1, his average xG per shot is a ghastly 0.09, compared with 0.28 for Nketiah, 0.26 for Lacazette or 0.19 for Martinelli. He's also taken more shots than anyone but Lacazette.”

Full article: ESPN.com