Take the Ravens over Colts struggling run game

In his weekly picks column, Sheil Kapadia likes the Ravens (-1.5) in Indianapolis, in part because of the Colts struggling run game…

“Frank Reich suggested that the numbers don’t tell the whole story with the Colts’ run game, but the numbers are concerning. Football Outsiders has Indianapolis 22nd in rushing efficiency, and according to TruMedia’s Expected Points Added (EPA) model, the Colts rank 29th in rushing. Philip Rivers has played well the last two games and faces a Ravens defense that will be without cornerback Marlon Humphrey. But Baltimore will be a motivated group after last week’s loss to the Steelers, and the Ravens are still a really good team. I think they bounce back here.”

Full article: The Athletic