Take the Packers offense vs the Texans defense

Green Bay’s efficient offense plus Houston’s struggling defense adds up to a Packers cover (-3.5) in Houston, writes Neil Greenberg in his weekly picks column:

“The Packers are averaging three points per drive this year, the league’s third best scoring efficiency, and have tallied 11 points per game more than you’d expect based on the down, distance and field position of each offensive play, per data from TruMedia. Only the Tennessee Titans, Kansas City Chiefs and Seattle Seahawks are exceeding expectations by a higher margin.

The Texans, meanwhile, are allowing a league-high 13 points per game more than expected this season.”

Full article: The Washington Post